NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:1
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HYPERSPIRIT pick
52%64%
ex-RUBY · 23 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +12%HYPERSPIRIT · 10 maps
Mirageex-RUBY pick
62%50%
ex-RUBY · 17 mapsedge ex-RUBY +12%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
68%50%
ex-RUBY · 21 mapedge ex-RUBY +18%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
52%67%
ex-RUBY · 17 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +15%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
OverpassHYPERSPIRIT ban
67%40%
ex-RUBY · 8 mapsedge ex-RUBY +27%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Anubisex-RUBY ban
60%44%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +16%HYPERSPIRIT · 5 maps
Cachepossible decider
63%50%
ex-RUBY · 4 mapsedge ex-RUBY +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. Pickex-RUBY take Mirage
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Dust2
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Overpass
6. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
DeciderCache (63% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
ex-RUBY 50%HYPERSPIRIT 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 61%
Series resultHYPERSPIRIT 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1