CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Azuolas#191 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Azuolas ban
61%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 34 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +28%Azuolas · 2 maps
NukeAzuolas pick
45%64%
ex-RUSTEC · 25 mapsedge Azuolas +19%Azuolas · 7 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
65%60%
ex-RUSTEC · 22 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%Azuolas · 1 map
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
50%38%
ex-RUSTEC · 14 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +12%Azuolas · 9 maps
Infernopossible decider
47%29%
ex-RUSTEC · 13 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +18%Azuolas · 3 maps
Cacheex-RUSTEC ban
47%60%
ex-RUSTEC · 13 mapsedge Azuolas +13%Azuolas · 1 map
DefaultAzuolas ban
56%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +6%Azuolas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Cache
2. BanAzuolas remove Dust2
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
4. PickAzuolas take Nuke
5. BanAzuolas remove Default
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (47% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed16:19
ex-RUSTEC 59%Azuolas 41%
The model gave 59% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Azuolas.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
ex-RUSTEC 59%Azuolas 41%
The model gave 59% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
ex-RUSTEC 32%Azuolas 68%
The model gave 68% on Azuolas — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 71%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3