CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
59%24%
ex-RUSTEC · 23 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +35%Entropy · 13 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
62%52%
ex-RUSTEC · 9 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +10%Entropy · 25 maps
Anubispossible decider
59%54%
ex-RUSTEC · 18 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%Entropy · 9 maps
CacheEntropy pick
38%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 9 mapsedge Entropy +12%Entropy · 14 maps
NukeEntropy ban
45%43%
ex-RUSTEC · 16 mapsnearly even +2%Entropy · 3 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%52%
ex-RUSTEC · 0 mapsnearly even -2%Entropy · 17 maps
InfernoEntropy ban
50%45%
ex-RUSTEC · 10 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%Entropy · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. BanEntropy remove Nuke
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. PickEntropy take Cache
5. BanEntropy remove Inferno
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (59% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:14
ex-RUSTEC 84%Entropy 16%
The model gave 84% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
ex-RUSTEC 57%Entropy 43%
The model gave 57% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Entropy.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
ex-RUSTEC 55%Entropy 45%
The model gave 55% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 58%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3