CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
60%41%
ex-RUSTEC · 11 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +19%ex-MANA · 13 maps
Nukeex-RUSTEC ban
30%38%
ex-RUSTEC · 6 mapsedge ex-MANA +8%ex-MANA · 4 maps
Mirageex-MANA pick
67%63%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsnearly even +4%ex-MANA · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
44%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +11%ex-MANA · 2 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%40%
ex-RUSTEC · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +10%ex-MANA · 6 maps
Anubisex-MANA ban
38%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 4 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-MANA · 2 maps
Cacheex-MANA ban
57%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 3 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-MANA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. Banex-MANA remove Cache
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. Pickex-MANA take Mirage
5. Banex-MANA remove Anubis
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (44% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
ex-RUSTEC 66%ex-MANA 34%
The model gave 66% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
ex-RUSTEC 45%ex-MANA 55%
The model gave 55% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 53%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2