CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
69%40%
ex-RUSTEC · 9 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +29%ex-Young Ninjas · 1 map
Mirageex-Young Ninjas ban
67%40%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +27%ex-Young Ninjas · 1 map
Nukeex-RUSTEC ban
33%60%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge ex-Young Ninjas +27%ex-Young Ninjas · 1 map
Infernoex-Young Ninjas pick
38%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 4 mapsedge ex-Young Ninjas +12%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC ban
43%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 3 mapsedge ex-Young Ninjas +7%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Cacheex-Young Ninjas ban
50%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 1 mapedge ex-RUSTEC +10%ex-Young Ninjas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Nuke
2. Banex-Young Ninjas remove Cache
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. Pickex-Young Ninjas take Inferno
5. Banex-Young Ninjas remove Mirage
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
ex-RUSTEC 79%ex-Young Ninjas 21%
The model gave 79% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-Young Ninjas.
Nukeprediction correct5:13
ex-RUSTEC 23%ex-Young Ninjas 77%
The model gave 77% on ex-Young Ninjas — the map was taken by ex-Young Ninjas.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 62%
Series resultex-Young Ninjas 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2