CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
59%62%
ex-RUSTEC · 13 mapsnearly even -3%Honvéd · 22 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
67%48%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +19%Honvéd · 19 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
42%56%
ex-RUSTEC · 8 mapsedge Honvéd +14%Honvéd · 5 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%53%
ex-RUSTEC · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Honvéd · 11 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
44%25%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +19%Honvéd · 4 maps
AnubisHonvéd pick
44%71%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +27%Honvéd · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%63%
ex-RUSTEC · 1 mapnearly even -3%Honvéd · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. PickHonvéd take Anubis
5. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
ex-RUSTEC 50%Honvéd 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
ex-RUSTEC 22%Honvéd 78%
The model gave 78% on Honvéd — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
ex-RUSTEC 69%Honvéd 31%
The model gave 69% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 59%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3