CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
mellren#95 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
55%60%
ex-RUSTEC · 47 mapsedge mellren +5%mellren · 16 maps
Miragemellren pick
50%64%
ex-RUSTEC · 22 mapsedge mellren +14%mellren · 35 maps
Nukemellren ban
49%21%
ex-RUSTEC · 39 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +28%mellren · 15 maps
Anubispossible decider
69%69%
ex-RUSTEC · 32 mapsnearly even +0%mellren · 9 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
55%54%
ex-RUSTEC · 16 mapsnearly even +1%mellren · 20 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
57%73%
ex-RUSTEC · 10 mapsedge mellren +16%mellren · 22 maps
Cachemellren ban
47%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 15 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +14%mellren · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. Banmellren remove Cache
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. Pickmellren take Mirage
5. Banmellren remove Nuke
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (69% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
ex-RUSTEC 80%mellren 20%
The model gave 80% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
ex-RUSTEC 30%mellren 70%
The model gave 70% on mellren — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 66%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2