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CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
ex-RUSTEC#79 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
56%57%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsnearly even -1%Rune Eaters · 19 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
57%56%
ex-RUSTEC · 3 mapsnearly even +1%Rune Eaters · 21 map
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 16 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
40%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 1 mapedge Rune Eaters +10%Rune Eaters · 12 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
40%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 1 mapedge ex-RUSTEC +7%Rune Eaters · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 1 mapedge ex-RUSTEC +10%Rune Eaters · 4 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
50%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
ex-RUSTEC 60%Rune Eaters 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
ex-RUSTEC 48%Rune Eaters 52%
The model gave 52% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
ex-RUSTEC 49%Rune Eaters 51%
The model gave 51% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 60%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3