?
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ex-RUSTEC#79 in the world · loss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
UNiTY#102 in the world · win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
58%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 27 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +25%UNiTY · 8 maps
Anubispossible decider
61%64%
ex-RUSTEC · 19 mapsnearly even -3%UNiTY · 7 maps
InfernoUNiTY pick
47%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 11 mapsnearly even -3%UNiTY · 10 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
57%53%
ex-RUSTEC · 10 mapsnearly even +4%UNiTY · 11 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
43%33%
ex-RUSTEC · 17 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +10%UNiTY · 2 maps
CacheUNiTY ban
43%36%
ex-RUSTEC · 10 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%UNiTY · 7 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%67%
ex-RUSTEC · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +17%UNiTY · 14 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. PickUNiTY take Inferno
5. BanUNiTY remove Cache
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (61% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
ex-RUSTEC 50%UNiTY 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 50%
Series resultUNiTY 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1