CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BIG Academy#215 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
73%67%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 22 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%BIG Academy · 2 maps
Dust2possible decider
64%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 18 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +14%BIG Academy · 2 maps
NukeBIG Academy ban
67%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%BIG Academy · 0 maps
InfernoBIG Academy pick
61%60%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 mapsnearly even +1%BIG Academy · 1 map
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 mapsnearly even +0%BIG Academy · 2 maps
AnubisBIG Academy ban
62%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%BIG Academy · 2 maps
Defaultex-Zero Tenacity ban
54%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +21%BIG Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
2. BanBIG Academy remove Nuke
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
4. PickBIG Academy take Inferno
5. BanBIG Academy remove Anubis
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Default
DeciderDust2 (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:5
ex-Zero Tenacity 60%BIG Academy 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
ex-Zero Tenacity 61%BIG Academy 39%
The model gave 61% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 81%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2