CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HAVU#107 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
60%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +20%HAVU · 6 maps
NukeHAVU pick
56%71%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 mapsedge HAVU +15%HAVU · 10 maps
CacheHAVU ban
77%29%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +48%HAVU · 3 maps
MirageHAVU ban
64%56%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +8%HAVU · 5 maps
Infernoex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%67%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 mapsedge HAVU +17%HAVU · 2 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +10%HAVU · 1 map
Overpasspossible decider
44%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 mapsnearly even +4%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
2. BanHAVU remove Cache
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Mirage
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Inferno
DeciderOverpass (44% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:8
ex-Zero Tenacity 90%HAVU 10%
The model gave 90% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 31%HAVU 69%
The model gave 69% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Infernoprediction missed16:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 33%HAVU 67%
The model gave 67% on HAVU — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 53%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3