?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
ex-Zero Tenacity#67 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Metizport#65 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMetizport pick
63%56%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%Metizport · 12 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
78%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 19 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +28%Metizport · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
77%59%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +18%Metizport · 13 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
58%64%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 mapsedge Metizport +6%Metizport · 7 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
55%67%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsedge Metizport +12%Metizport · 8 maps
Dust2Metizport ban
61%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +11%Metizport · 0 maps
DefaultMetizport ban
54%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Metizport · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
2. BanMetizport remove Dust2
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
4. PickMetizport take Nuke
5. BanMetizport remove Default
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (77% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed6:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 80%Metizport 20%
The model gave 80% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Metizport.
Nukeprediction correct16:14
ex-Zero Tenacity 53%Metizport 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 70%Metizport 30%
The model gave 70% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoriteMetizport · 52%
Series resultMetizport 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3