CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom#88 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Phantom pick
56%57%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 mapsnearly even -1%Phantom · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
56%58%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 mapsnearly even -2%Phantom · 8 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%59%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 mapsedge Phantom +9%Phantom · 18 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
81%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +48%Phantom · 2 maps
AnubisPhantom ban
50%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom · 6 maps
Infernoex-Zero Tenacity ban
67%75%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 mapsedge Phantom +8%Phantom · 4 maps
MiragePhantom ban
67%38%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +29%Phantom · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
2. BanPhantom remove Mirage
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
4. PickPhantom take Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Anubis
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (56% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
ex-Zero Tenacity 51%Phantom 49%
The model gave 51% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
ex-Zero Tenacity 45%Phantom 55%
The model gave 55% on Phantom — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 65%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2