CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Privateer#189 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Privateer ban
61%29%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +32%Privateer · 10 maps
NukePrivateer pick
53%35%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +18%Privateer · 13 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
74%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +34%Privateer · 1 map
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
60%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +27%Privateer · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
73%67%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%Privateer · 2 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%Privateer · 8 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
55%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +5%Privateer · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
2. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
4. PickPrivateer take Nuke
5. BanPrivateer remove Dust2
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (73% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
ex-Zero Tenacity 50%Privateer 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 70%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1