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PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
EYEBALLERS#52 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegion#27 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEYEBALLERS pick
50%50%
EYEBALLERS · 8 mapsnearly even +0%GamerLegion · 12 maps
Miragepossible decider
40%25%
EYEBALLERS · 6 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +15%GamerLegion · 8 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
25%77%
EYEBALLERS · 4 mapsedge GamerLegion +52%GamerLegion · 9 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
38%36%
EYEBALLERS · 4 mapsnearly even +2%GamerLegion · 7 maps
NukeGamerLegion pick
43%58%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsedge GamerLegion +15%GamerLegion · 8 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
55%50%
EYEBALLERS · 7 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +5%GamerLegion · 0 maps
InfernoEYEBALLERS ban
38%50%
EYEBALLERS · 4 mapsedge GamerLegion +12%GamerLegion · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
2. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
3. PickEYEBALLERS take Ancient
4. PickGamerLegion take Nuke
5. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
6. BanEYEBALLERS remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (40% / 25%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
EYEBALLERS 69%GamerLegion 31%
The model gave 69% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
EYEBALLERS 32%GamerLegion 68%
The model gave 68% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
EYEBALLERS 38%GamerLegion 62%
The model gave 63% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 69%
Series resultEYEBALLERS 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3