BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
50%50%
Fake do Biru · 8 mapsnearly even +0%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves pick
50%40%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
57%50%
Fake do Biru · 3 mapsedge Fake do Biru +7%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
29%50%
Fake do Biru · 3 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +21%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
NukeMETANOIA Wolves ban
67%50%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge Fake do Biru +17%METANOIA Wolves · 0 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
50%40%
Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge Fake do Biru +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
DefaultFake do Biru ban
50%60%
Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Nuke
3. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Anubis
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
6. BanFake do Biru remove Default
DeciderInferno (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Fake do Biru 40%METANOIA Wolves 60%
The model gave 60% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteFake do Biru · 59%
Series resultFake do Biru 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1