Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE — prediction BSS 3 · CS2

arrow_backBack to match

BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3

result vs prediction

Fake do Biru#93 in the world · win 2:1

series probability

59%41%

probability at match start · final 2:1

UNO MILLE#221 in the world · loss 1:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Map veto prediction

For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.

Dust2Fake do Biru pick

57%69%

Fake do Biru · 10 mapsedge UNO MILLE +12%UNO MILLE · 9 maps

InfernoFake do Biru ban

57%60%

Fake do Biru · 3 mapsnearly even -3%UNO MILLE · 6 maps

MirageUNO MILLE ban

38%44%

Fake do Biru · 4 mapsedge UNO MILLE +6%UNO MILLE · 5 maps

NukeUNO MILLE ban

71%50%

Fake do Biru · 3 mapsedge Fake do Biru +21%UNO MILLE · 2 maps

AnubisFake do Biru ban

50%67%

Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%UNO MILLE · 2 maps

Defaultpossible decider

60%50%

Fake do Biru · 1 mapedge Fake do Biru +10%UNO MILLE · 2 maps

OverpassUNO MILLE pick

50%71%

Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +21%UNO MILLE · 3 maps

Most likely veto scenario

1. BanFake do Biru remove Anubis

2. BanUNO MILLE remove Nuke

3. PickFake do Biru take Dust2

4. PickUNO MILLE take Overpass

5. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage

6. BanFake do Biru remove Inferno

DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)

Prediction by map vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.

Anubisprediction correct6:13

Fake do Biru 31%UNO MILLE 69%

The model gave 69% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.

Dust2prediction missed13:4

Fake do Biru 40%UNO MILLE 60%

The model gave 60% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.

Overpassprediction missed13:10

Fake do Biru 29%UNO MILLE 71%

The model gave 71% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.

Model check result

Model favoriteFake do Biru · 59%

Series resultFake do Biru 2:1

Series predictioncorrect

Accuracy by map1 of 3