CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
VEXA#257 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
53%50%
Fake do Biru · 13 mapsnearly even +3%VEXA · 6 maps
AnubisVEXA pick
43%60%
Fake do Biru · 3 mapsedge VEXA +17%VEXA · 6 maps
MirageFake do Biru ban
38%38%
Fake do Biru · 4 mapsnearly even +0%VEXA · 4 maps
InfernoVEXA ban
50%29%
Fake do Biru · 4 mapsedge Fake do Biru +21%VEXA · 3 maps
NukeVEXA ban
75%50%
Fake do Biru · 4 mapsedge Fake do Biru +25%VEXA · 2 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
50%63%
Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge VEXA +13%VEXA · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%71%
Fake do Biru · 1 mapedge VEXA +11%VEXA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
2. BanVEXA remove Nuke
3. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
4. PickVEXA take Anubis
5. BanVEXA remove Inferno
6. BanFake do Biru remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
Fake do Biru 31%VEXA 69%
The model gave 69% on VEXA — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
Fake do Biru 56%VEXA 44%
The model gave 56% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by VEXA.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Fake do Biru 71%VEXA 29%
The model gave 71% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteFake do Biru · 50%
Series resultFake do Biru 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3