CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons Force#134 in the world · win 2:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Privateer#207 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePrivateer pick
31%32%
Falcons Force · 9 mapsnearly even -1%Privateer · 18 maps
MiragePrivateer ban
53%30%
Falcons Force · 13 mapsedge Falcons Force +23%Privateer · 6 maps
AncientPrivateer ban
50%28%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge Falcons Force +22%Privateer · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
56%63%
Falcons Force · 14 mapsedge Privateer +7%Privateer · 4 maps
CacheFalcons Force pick
67%67%
Falcons Force · 11 mapsnearly even +0%Privateer · 2 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
43%25%
Falcons Force · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +18%Privateer · 8 maps
AnubisFalcons Force ban
55%67%
Falcons Force · 7 mapsedge Privateer +12%Privateer · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
2. BanPrivateer remove Mirage
3. PickFalcons Force take Cache
4. PickPrivateer take Nuke
5. BanPrivateer remove Ancient
6. BanFalcons Force remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (56% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:4
Falcons Force 46%Privateer 54%
The model gave 54% on Privateer — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Falcons Force 53%Privateer 47%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Privateer.
Ancientprediction correct13:2
Falcons Force 72%Privateer 28%
The model gave 72% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 60%
Series resultFalcons Force 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3