CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Falcons#5 in the world · win 13:11series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 13:11
BC.Game#60 in the world · loss 11:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
64%40%
Falcons · 7 mapsedge Falcons +24%BC.Game · 1 map
MirageFalcons ban
50%33%
Falcons · 4 mapsedge Falcons +17%BC.Game · 2 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
63%50%
Falcons · 4 mapsedge Falcons +13%BC.Game · 0 maps
NukeFalcons ban
50%50%
Falcons · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BC.Game · 0 maps
InfernoBC.Game ban
40%50%
Falcons · 1 mapedge BC.Game +10%BC.Game · 0 maps
OverpassFalcons ban
50%40%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Falcons +10%BC.Game · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons remove Overpass
2. BanBC.Game remove Inferno
3. BanFalcons remove Nuke
4. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
5. BanFalcons remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (64% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Falcons 72%BC.Game 28%
The model gave 72% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 90%
Series resultFalcons 13:11
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1