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CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO5
result vs prediction
Falcons#5 in the world · loss 1:3
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:3
Legacy#7 in the world · win 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Falcons pick
71%63%
Falcons · 10 mapsedge Falcons +8%Legacy · 4 maps
AncientLegacy ban
70%33%
Falcons · 6 mapsedge Falcons +37%Legacy · 5 maps
MirageLegacy pick
44%78%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Legacy +34%Legacy · 5 maps
NukeFalcons pick
57%63%
Falcons · 3 mapsedge Legacy +6%Legacy · 4 maps
InfernoLegacy pick
50%63%
Falcons · 2 mapsedge Legacy +13%Legacy · 4 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%60%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 1 map
OverpassFalcons ban
50%60%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons remove Overpass
2. BanLegacy remove Ancient
3. PickFalcons take Dust2
4. PickLegacy take Mirage
5. PickFalcons take Nuke
6. PickLegacy take Inferno
DeciderAnubis (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Falcons 42%Legacy 58%
The model gave 58% on Legacy — the map was taken by Falcons.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
Falcons 84%Legacy 16%
The model gave 84% on Falcons — the map was taken by Legacy.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
Falcons 17%Legacy 83%
The model gave 83% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Falcons 63%Legacy 37%
The model gave 63% on Falcons — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 80%
Series resultLegacy 1:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 4