Thunderpick World Championship 2026 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Falcons#5 in the worldseries probability
51%49%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeNinjas in Pyjamas pick
57%75%
Falcons · 3 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +18%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 20 maps
AncientFalcons ban
33%67%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +34%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
55%47%
Falcons · 7 mapsedge Falcons +8%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 15 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
64%45%
Falcons · 10 mapsedge Falcons +19%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 7 maps
InfernoFalcons pick
67%60%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Falcons +7%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 11 maps
CacheFalcons ban
50%44%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Falcons +6%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 14 maps
AnubisNinjas in Pyjamas ban
44%57%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +13%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons remove Cache
2. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
3. PickFalcons take Inferno
4. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Nuke
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (55% / 47%)