CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
FAVBET#105 in the world · win 2:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ursa#88 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FAVBET ban
50%64%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge Ursa +14%Ursa · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%44%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +6%Ursa · 5 maps
MirageUrsa pick
50%63%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge Ursa +13%Ursa · 4 maps
InfernoUrsa ban
50%43%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +7%Ursa · 3 maps
OverpassUrsa ban
50%43%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +7%Ursa · 3 maps
AnubisFAVBET ban
50%60%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge Ursa +10%Ursa · 1 map
DefaultFAVBET pick
60%50%
FAVBET · 1 mapedge FAVBET +10%Ursa · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFAVBET remove Dust2
2. BanUrsa remove Overpass
3. PickFAVBET take Default
4. PickUrsa take Mirage
5. BanUrsa remove Inferno
6. BanFAVBET remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
FAVBET 60%Ursa 40%
The model gave 60% on FAVBET — the map was taken by FAVBET.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
FAVBET 53%Ursa 47%
The model gave 53% on FAVBET — the map was taken by FAVBET.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 64%
Series resultFAVBET 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2