RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#18 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GamerLegion#27 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
43%50%
FaZe · 10 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 12 maps
NukeFaZe pick
71%60%
FaZe · 10 mapsedge FaZe +11%GamerLegion · 11 maps
Dust2FaZe ban
38%46%
FaZe · 9 mapsedge GamerLegion +8%GamerLegion · 9 maps
CacheGamerLegion pick
55%71%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge GamerLegion +16%GamerLegion · 10 maps
MirageGamerLegion ban
67%31%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge FaZe +36%GamerLegion · 9 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
44%50%
FaZe · 5 mapsedge GamerLegion +6%GamerLegion · 0 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
50%43%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge FaZe +7%GamerLegion · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Inferno
2. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
3. PickFaZe take Nuke
4. PickGamerLegion take Cache
5. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
6. BanFaZe remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
FaZe 39%GamerLegion 61%
The model gave 61% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Mirageprediction correct16:14
FaZe 84%GamerLegion 16%
The model gave 84% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
FaZe 63%GamerLegion 37%
The model gave 63% on FaZe — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 59%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3