Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#17 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
JiJieHao#44 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJiJieHao pick
55%72%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge JiJieHao +17%JiJieHao · 14 maps
CacheFaZe pick
58%43%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge FaZe +15%JiJieHao · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
36%58%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge JiJieHao +22%JiJieHao · 8 maps
Dust2JiJieHao ban
50%31%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge FaZe +19%JiJieHao · 9 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
43%57%
FaZe · 3 mapsedge JiJieHao +14%JiJieHao · 10 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
75%50%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge FaZe +25%JiJieHao · 0 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
50%45%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge FaZe +5%JiJieHao · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Inferno
2. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
3. PickFaZe take Cache
4. PickJiJieHao take Mirage
5. BanJiJieHao remove Dust2
6. BanFaZe remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (36% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
FaZe 29%JiJieHao 71%
The model gave 71% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by FaZe.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
FaZe 72%JiJieHao 28%
The model gave 72% on FaZe — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Anubisprediction correct11:13
FaZe 36%JiJieHao 64%
The model gave 64% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 53%
Series resultJiJieHao 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3