IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FaZe pick
50%63%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge Vitality +13%Vitality · 4 maps
MirageFaZe ban
50%75%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge Vitality +25%Vitality · 4 maps
NukeFaZe ban
67%57%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge FaZe +10%Vitality · 3 maps
AncientVitality ban
38%50%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge Vitality +12%Vitality · 0 maps
AnubisVitality ban
33%50%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge Vitality +17%Vitality · 2 maps
OverpassVitality pick
50%57%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge Vitality +7%Vitality · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Mirage
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickFaZe take Dust2
4. PickVitality take Overpass
5. BanVitality remove Anubis
6. BanFaZe remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
FaZe 63%Vitality 37%
The model gave 63% on FaZe — the map was taken by Vitality.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
FaZe 35%Vitality 65%
The model gave 65% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 86%
Series resultVitality 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2