Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
69%57%
FaZe · 9 mapsedge FaZe +12%Vitality · 3 maps
AncientVitality ban
57%50%
FaZe · 10 mapsedge FaZe +7%Vitality · 0 maps
Dust2FaZe ban
38%33%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge FaZe +5%Vitality · 5 maps
NukeVitality pick
67%63%
FaZe · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Vitality · 4 maps
AnubisVitality ban
50%29%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge FaZe +21%Vitality · 3 maps
CacheFaZe pick
80%50%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge FaZe +30%Vitality · 0 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
50%67%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge Vitality +17%Vitality · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Inferno
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickFaZe take Cache
4. PickVitality take Nuke
5. BanVitality remove Anubis
6. BanFaZe remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (69% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed11:13
FaZe 52%Vitality 48%
The model gave 52% on FaZe — the map was taken by Vitality.
Cacheprediction missed6:13
FaZe 82%Vitality 18%
The model gave 82% on FaZe — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 69%
Series resultVitality 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2