StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
50%67%
Fluxo · 12 mapsedge BESTIA +17%BESTIA · 11 maps
NukeFluxo pick
63%50%
Fluxo · 15 mapsedge Fluxo +13%BESTIA · 4 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
45%38%
Fluxo · 7 mapsedge Fluxo +7%BESTIA · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
70%71%
Fluxo · 6 mapsnearly even -1%BESTIA · 3 maps
CacheFluxo ban
56%57%
Fluxo · 5 mapsnearly even -1%BESTIA · 3 maps
AncientFluxo ban
40%56%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge BESTIA +16%BESTIA · 5 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%50%
Fluxo · 6 mapsnearly even +0%BESTIA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickBESTIA take Dust2
5. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
6. BanFluxo remove Cache
DeciderMirage (70% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed12:16
Fluxo 66%BESTIA 34%
The model gave 66% on Fluxo — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Fluxo 31%BESTIA 69%
The model gave 69% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 61%
Series resultBESTIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2