PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#58 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DENDELE#35 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
63%50%
Fluxo · 23 mapsedge Fluxo +13%DENDELE · 2 maps
MirageDENDELE ban
67%40%
Fluxo · 11 mapsedge Fluxo +27%DENDELE · 6 maps
CacheFluxo ban
55%55%
Fluxo · 7 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 7 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
53%50%
Fluxo · 13 mapsnearly even +3%DENDELE · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
54%50%
Fluxo · 9 mapsnearly even +4%DENDELE · 2 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
40%63%
Fluxo · 6 mapsedge DENDELE +23%DENDELE · 4 maps
AncientFluxo ban
50%38%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge Fluxo +12%DENDELE · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickDENDELE take Anubis
5. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
6. BanFluxo remove Cache
DeciderInferno (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Fluxo 77%DENDELE 23%
The model gave 77% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
Fluxo 47%DENDELE 53%
The model gave 53% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Nukeprediction missed3:13
Fluxo 63%DENDELE 37%
The model gave 63% on Fluxo — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 61%
Series resultDENDELE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3