StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
58%75%
Fluxo · 15 mapsedge Imperial +17%Imperial · 8 maps
Dust2Imperial ban
56%50%
Fluxo · 12 mapsedge Fluxo +6%Imperial · 10 maps
InfernoImperial pick
40%67%
Fluxo · 6 mapsedge Imperial +27%Imperial · 14 maps
Miragepossible decider
70%56%
Fluxo · 6 mapsedge Fluxo +14%Imperial · 14 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
50%50%
Fluxo · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Imperial · 4 maps
CacheImperial ban
56%56%
Fluxo · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Imperial · 5 maps
AncientFluxo ban
33%50%
Fluxo · 2 mapsedge Imperial +17%Imperial · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanImperial remove Dust2
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickImperial take Inferno
5. BanImperial remove Cache
6. BanFluxo remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (70% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
Fluxo 59%Imperial 41%
The model gave 59% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
Fluxo 23%Imperial 77%
The model gave 77% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Fluxo 31%Imperial 69%
The model gave 69% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 63%
Series resultFluxo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3