CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fluxo pick
56%37%
Fluxo · 12 mapsedge Fluxo +19%paiN Academy · 15 maps
MiragepaiN Academy ban
67%42%
Fluxo · 5 mapsedge Fluxo +25%paiN Academy · 15 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
57%45%
Fluxo · 10 mapsedge Fluxo +12%paiN Academy · 7 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
50%54%
Fluxo · 6 mapsnearly even -4%paiN Academy · 9 maps
InfernoFluxo ban
38%60%
Fluxo · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +22%paiN Academy · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%67%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge paiN Academy +17%paiN Academy · 5 maps
AncientFluxo ban
29%40%
Fluxo · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +11%paiN Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
3. PickFluxo take Dust2
4. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Mirage
6. BanFluxo remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:3
Fluxo 47%paiN Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Fluxo 64%paiN Academy 36%
The model gave 64% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 84%
Series resultFluxo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2