PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Oceania Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#60 in the world · win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDeviousloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisDevious ban
73%50%
FlyQuest · 7 mapsedge FlyQuest +23%Devious · 0 maps
Dust2FlyQuest pick
67%50%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +17%Devious · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%50%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +17%Devious · 0 maps
NukeDevious ban
67%50%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +17%Devious · 0 maps
AncientFlyQuest ban
60%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge FlyQuest +10%Devious · 0 maps
CacheFlyQuest ban
60%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge FlyQuest +10%Devious · 0 maps
DefaultDevious pick
40%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge Devious +10%Devious · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Cache
2. BanDevious remove Anubis
3. PickFlyQuest take Dust2
4. PickDevious take Default
5. BanDevious remove Nuke
6. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
FlyQuest 64%Devious 36%
The model gave 64% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Cacheprediction correct13:1
FlyQuest 63%Devious 37%
The model gave 63% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 79%
Series resultFlyQuest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2