PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
fnatic#37 in the world · loss 14:16series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 14:16
DDrama#143 in the world · win 16:14
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
69%60%
fnatic · 12 mapsedge fnatic +9%Drama · 1 map
AnubisDrama ban
73%50%
fnatic · 11 mapsedge fnatic +23%Drama · 0 maps
CacheDrama ban
73%50%
fnatic · 11 mapsedge fnatic +23%Drama · 0 maps
Dust2fnatic ban
62%50%
fnatic · 9 mapsedge fnatic +12%Drama · 0 maps
Miragefnatic ban
45%60%
fnatic · 7 mapsedge Drama +15%Drama · 1 map
InfernoDrama ban
67%50%
fnatic · 5 mapsedge fnatic +17%Drama · 0 maps
Overpassfnatic ban
40%50%
fnatic · 1 mapedge Drama +10%Drama · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Mirage
2. BanDrama remove Anubis
3. Banfnatic remove Overpass
4. BanDrama remove Cache
5. Banfnatic remove Dust2
6. BanDrama remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (69% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
fnatic 59%Drama 41%
The model gave 59% on fnatic — the map was taken by Drama.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 85%
Series resultDrama 14:16
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1