PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
FOKUS#40 in the world · win 13:9series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 13:9
aimclub#174 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FOKUS ban
50%44%
FOKUS · 8 mapsedge FOKUS +6%aimclub · 5 maps
Ancientaimclub ban
45%43%
FOKUS · 7 mapsnearly even +2%aimclub · 3 maps
Nukeaimclub ban
42%50%
FOKUS · 8 mapsedge aimclub +8%aimclub · 2 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
43%50%
FOKUS · 3 mapsedge aimclub +7%aimclub · 4 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
50%67%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge aimclub +17%aimclub · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
71%60%
FOKUS · 3 mapsedge FOKUS +11%aimclub · 1 map
Overpassaimclub ban
50%50%
FOKUS · 2 mapsnearly even +0%aimclub · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
2. Banaimclub remove Nuke
3. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
4. Banaimclub remove Ancient
5. BanFOKUS remove Dust2
6. Banaimclub remove Overpass
DeciderCache (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
FOKUS 53%aimclub 47%
The model gave 53% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 79%
Series resultFOKUS 13:9
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1