CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
FOKUS#52 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheFOKUS pick
76%63%
FOKUS · 17 mapsedge FOKUS +13%LFO 10 · 4 maps
NukeLFO 10 ban
73%50%
FOKUS · 18 mapsedge FOKUS +23%LFO 10 · 2 maps
Dust2LFO 10 ban
35%30%
FOKUS · 13 mapsedge FOKUS +5%LFO 10 · 6 maps
MirageLFO 10 pick
43%38%
FOKUS · 10 mapsedge FOKUS +5%LFO 10 · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
65%44%
FOKUS · 13 mapsedge FOKUS +21%LFO 10 · 5 maps
AnubisFOKUS ban
50%50%
FOKUS · 6 mapsnearly even +0%LFO 10 · 2 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
38%40%
FOKUS · 4 mapsnearly even -2%LFO 10 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Anubis
2. BanLFO 10 remove Nuke
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. PickLFO 10 take Mirage
5. BanLFO 10 remove Dust2
6. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (65% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:7
FOKUS 68%LFO 10 32%
The model gave 68% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Mirageprediction correct16:13
FOKUS 52%LFO 10 48%
The model gave 52% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 75%
Series resultFOKUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2