CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
FORZE Reload#70 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFORZE Reload pick
71%50%
FORZE Reload · 10 mapsedge FORZE Reload +21%Spirit Academy · 16 maps
Dust2possible decider
64%56%
FORZE Reload · 10 mapsedge FORZE Reload +8%Spirit Academy · 14 maps
CacheSpirit Academy ban
69%53%
FORZE Reload · 9 mapsedge FORZE Reload +16%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
50%50%
FORZE Reload · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
63%68%
FORZE Reload · 4 mapsedge Spirit Academy +5%Spirit Academy · 15 maps
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
45%67%
FORZE Reload · 7 mapsedge Spirit Academy +22%Spirit Academy · 5 maps
DefaultFORZE Reload ban
50%60%
FORZE Reload · 2 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Spirit Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
3. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Cache
6. BanFORZE Reload remove Default
DeciderDust2 (64% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
FORZE Reload 53%Spirit Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
FORZE Reload 41%Spirit Academy 59%
The model gave 59% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Nukeprediction missed20:22
FORZE Reload 71%Spirit Academy 29%
The model gave 71% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 61%
Series resultSpirit Academy 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3