Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FUT#8 in the world · win 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
magic#18 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFUT pick
75%71%
FUT · 8 mapsnearly even +4%magic · 10 maps
Miragemagic pick
64%55%
FUT · 7 mapsedge FUT +9%magic · 7 maps
Dust2FUT ban
25%44%
FUT · 4 mapsedge magic +19%magic · 5 maps
Anubismagic ban
67%57%
FUT · 2 mapsedge FUT +10%magic · 3 maps
OverpassFUT ban
38%60%
FUT · 4 mapsedge magic +22%magic · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
50%63%
FUT · 0 mapsedge magic +13%magic · 4 maps
Nukemagic ban
29%50%
FUT · 3 mapsedge magic +21%magic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFUT remove Dust2
2. Banmagic remove Nuke
3. PickFUT take Ancient
4. Pickmagic take Mirage
5. Banmagic remove Anubis
6. BanFUT remove Overpass
DeciderCache (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
FUT 52%magic 48%
The model gave 52% on FUT — the map was taken by magic.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
FUT 63%magic 37%
The model gave 63% on FUT — the map was taken by FUT.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
FUT 59%magic 41%
The model gave 59% on FUT — the map was taken by FUT.
Model check result
Model favoriteFUT · 59%
Series resultFUT 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3