CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Azuolas#191 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAzuolas pick
44%45%
G2 Ares · 21 mapnearly even -1%Azuolas · 7 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
50%33%
G2 Ares · 22 mapsedge G2 Ares +17%Azuolas · 2 maps
Dust2possible decider
39%33%
G2 Ares · 19 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%Azuolas · 2 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
53%50%
G2 Ares · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Azuolas · 4 maps
AnubisAzuolas ban
50%60%
G2 Ares · 6 mapsedge Azuolas +10%Azuolas · 1 map
CacheAzuolas ban
36%50%
G2 Ares · 7 mapsedge Azuolas +14%Azuolas · 0 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
50%67%
G2 Ares · 0 mapsedge Azuolas +17%Azuolas · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
2. BanAzuolas remove Cache
3. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
4. PickAzuolas take Mirage
5. BanAzuolas remove Anubis
6. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (39% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
G2 Ares 69%Azuolas 31%
The model gave 69% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Mirageprediction missed19:15
G2 Ares 46%Azuolas 54%
The model gave 54% on Azuolas — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 62%
Series resultG2 Ares 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2