NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEntropy ban
55%40%
G2 Ares · 7 mapsedge G2 Ares +15%Entropy · 1 map
Dust2Entropy ban
56%50%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%Entropy · 0 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
56%50%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%Entropy · 0 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
50%60%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsedge Entropy +10%Entropy · 1 map
OverpassG2 Ares ban
50%40%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsedge G2 Ares +10%Entropy · 1 map
AnubisEntropy pick
60%60%
G2 Ares · 1 mapnearly even +0%Entropy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
2. BanEntropy remove Dust2
3. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Mirage
6. BanG2 Ares remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:5
G2 Ares 47%Entropy 53%
The model gave 53% on Entropy — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
G2 Ares 58%Entropy 42%
The model gave 58% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 51%
Series resultG2 Ares 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2