CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
45%54%
G2 Ares · 18 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +9%ex-RUSTEC · 20 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
50%46%
G2 Ares · 18 mapsnearly even +4%ex-RUSTEC · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%67%
G2 Ares · 18 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
44%57%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +13%ex-RUSTEC · 17 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
50%42%
G2 Ares · 0 mapsedge G2 Ares +8%ex-RUSTEC · 15 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
53%50%
G2 Ares · 13 mapsnearly even +3%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Cacheex-RUSTEC ban
43%42%
G2 Ares · 3 mapsnearly even +1%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Cache
6. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
G2 Ares 38%ex-RUSTEC 62%
The model gave 62% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
G2 Ares 57%ex-RUSTEC 43%
The model gave 57% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 55%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2