CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#97 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
44%59%
G2 Ares · 21 mapedge ex-Zero Tenacity +15%ex-Zero Tenacity · 13 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
48%73%
G2 Ares · 19 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
MirageG2 Ares ban
43%67%
G2 Ares · 19 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +24%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
44%74%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +30%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
40%55%
G2 Ares · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +15%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
53%50%
G2 Ares · 11 mapsnearly even +3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
50%57%
G2 Ares · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
6. BanG2 Ares remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (44% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct6:13
G2 Ares 20%ex-Zero Tenacity 80%
The model gave 80% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
G2 Ares 30%ex-Zero Tenacity 70%
The model gave 70% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
G2 Ares 26%ex-Zero Tenacity 74%
The model gave 74% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 64%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3