Comic Con Baltics 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageG2 Ares pick
50%50%
G2 Ares · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
Dust2Phantom Academy ban
63%50%
G2 Ares · 4 mapsedge G2 Ares +13%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
50%50%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
InfernoPhantom Academy pick
50%50%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
OverpassPhantom Academy ban
50%50%
G2 Ares · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Dust2
3. PickG2 Ares take Mirage
4. PickPhantom Academy take Inferno
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
G2 Ares 47%Phantom Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
G2 Ares 53%Phantom Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 60%
Series resultG2 Ares 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2