CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#97 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
48%47%
G2 Ares · 19 mapsnearly even +1%PsychoFace · 11 maps
MirageG2 Ares pick
45%46%
G2 Ares · 18 mapsnearly even -1%PsychoFace · 9 maps
InfernoPsychoFace ban
45%43%
G2 Ares · 16 mapsnearly even +2%PsychoFace · 3 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
50%40%
G2 Ares · 10 mapsedge G2 Ares +10%PsychoFace · 1 map
OverpassPsychoFace pick
33%63%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsedge PsychoFace +30%PsychoFace · 4 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
33%60%
G2 Ares · 5 mapsedge PsychoFace +27%PsychoFace · 1 map
CacheG2 Ares ban
50%50%
G2 Ares · 4 mapsnearly even +0%PsychoFace · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
2. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
3. PickG2 Ares take Mirage
4. PickPsychoFace take Overpass
5. BanPsychoFace remove Inferno
6. BanG2 Ares remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (48% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
G2 Ares 48%PsychoFace 52%
The model gave 52% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
G2 Ares 55%PsychoFace 45%
The model gave 55% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Mirageprediction correct17:19
G2 Ares 49%PsychoFace 51%
The model gave 51% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Model check result
Model favoritePsychoFace · 50%
Series resultPsychoFace 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3