Roman Imperium Cup IX · BO1
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 3:13series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 3:13
PURE#126 in the world · win 13:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePURE ban
42%36%
G2 Ares · 27 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%PURE · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
61%63%
G2 Ares · 29 mapsnearly even -2%PURE · 4 maps
Dust2PURE ban
37%57%
G2 Ares · 23 mapsedge PURE +20%PURE · 3 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
54%57%
G2 Ares · 20 mapsnearly even -3%PURE · 3 maps
CacheG2 Ares ban
44%57%
G2 Ares · 14 mapsedge PURE +13%PURE · 3 maps
AnubisPURE ban
45%50%
G2 Ares · 7 mapsedge PURE +5%PURE · 0 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
50%56%
G2 Ares · 0 mapsedge PURE +6%PURE · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
2. BanPURE remove Anubis
3. BanG2 Ares remove Cache
4. BanPURE remove Dust2
5. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
6. BanPURE remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (61% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct3:13
G2 Ares 47%PURE 53%
The model gave 53% on PURE — the map was taken by PURE.
Model check result
Model favoritePURE · 51%
Series resultPURE 3:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1