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BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2#7 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FaZe#11 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FaZe pick
50%60%
G2 · 2 mapsedge FaZe +10%FaZe · 1 map
MirageFaZe ban
40%40%
G2 · 1 mapnearly even +0%FaZe · 1 map
OverpassFaZe ban
67%50%
G2 · 2 mapsedge G2 +17%FaZe · 0 maps
AncientG2 pick
50%40%
G2 · 0 mapsedge G2 +10%FaZe · 1 map
AnubisG2 ban
50%40%
G2 · 0 mapsedge G2 +10%FaZe · 1 map
NukeG2 ban
50%60%
G2 · 0 mapsedge FaZe +10%FaZe · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 remove Nuke
2. BanFaZe remove Overpass
3. PickG2 take Ancient
4. PickFaZe take Dust2
5. BanFaZe remove Mirage
6. BanG2 remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
G2 37%FaZe 63%
The model gave 63% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
G2 63%FaZe 37%
The model gave 63% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Mirageprediction missed13:16
G2 50%FaZe 50%
The model gave 50% on G2 — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 · 58%
Series resultFaZe 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3