BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2#7 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Natus Vincere#10 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
69%60%
G2 · 9 mapsedge G2 +9%Natus Vincere · 6 maps
InfernoG2 pick
80%50%
G2 · 6 mapsedge G2 +30%Natus Vincere · 6 maps
AncientNatus Vincere pick
27%50%
G2 · 7 mapsedge Natus Vincere +23%Natus Vincere · 4 maps
Dust2Natus Vincere ban
36%43%
G2 · 7 mapsedge Natus Vincere +7%Natus Vincere · 3 maps
AnubisG2 ban
40%43%
G2 · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Natus Vincere · 3 maps
OverpassNatus Vincere ban
67%50%
G2 · 5 mapsedge G2 +17%Natus Vincere · 0 maps
CacheG2 ban
50%50%
G2 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Natus Vincere · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 remove Anubis
2. BanNatus Vincere remove Dust2
3. PickG2 take Inferno
4. PickNatus Vincere take Ancient
5. BanNatus Vincere remove Overpass
6. BanG2 remove Cache
DeciderMirage (69% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
G2 25%Natus Vincere 75%
The model gave 75% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by G2.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
G2 82%Natus Vincere 18%
The model gave 82% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 · 57%
Series resultG2 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2