BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBORRACHEIROS pick
62%57%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge Galorys +5%BORRACHEIROS · 3 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
43%67%
Galorys · 10 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +24%BORRACHEIROS · 2 maps
NukeGalorys pick
54%40%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge Galorys +14%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
OverpassBORRACHEIROS ban
54%50%
Galorys · 9 mapsnearly even +4%BORRACHEIROS · 0 maps
MirageBORRACHEIROS ban
67%43%
Galorys · 5 mapsedge Galorys +24%BORRACHEIROS · 3 maps
DefaultGalorys ban
50%71%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +21%BORRACHEIROS · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%60%
Galorys · 1 mapnearly even +0%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Default
2. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Overpass
3. PickGalorys take Nuke
4. PickBORRACHEIROS take Ancient
5. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Mirage
6. BanGalorys remove Dust2
DeciderAnubis (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
Galorys 47%BORRACHEIROS 53%
The model gave 53% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Galorys 58%BORRACHEIROS 42%
The model gave 58% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 51%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2