CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Grêmio#201 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
81%40%
Galorys · 23 mapsedge Galorys +41%Grêmio · 6 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
52%47%
Galorys · 17 mapsedge Galorys +5%Grêmio · 11 maps
InfernoGrêmio pick
30%56%
Galorys · 6 mapsedge Grêmio +26%Grêmio · 12 maps
CacheGrêmio ban
50%36%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Galorys +14%Grêmio · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%36%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Galorys +31%Grêmio · 7 maps
AnubisGrêmio ban
43%50%
Galorys · 10 mapsedge Grêmio +7%Grêmio · 0 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%36%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge Galorys +14%Grêmio · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Mirage
2. BanGrêmio remove Anubis
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickGrêmio take Inferno
5. BanGrêmio remove Cache
6. BanGalorys remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (67% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed19:16
Galorys 23%Grêmio 77%
The model gave 77% on Grêmio — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Galorys 88%Grêmio 12%
The model gave 88% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 73%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2