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BetBoom Circuit X Base Recife 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LP#107 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Galorys ban
54%60%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge LP +6%LP · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
58%50%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Galorys +8%LP · 8 maps
NukeLP pick
46%60%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge LP +14%LP · 6 maps
OverpassLP ban
54%38%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge Galorys +16%LP · 4 maps
MirageLP ban
67%70%
Galorys · 5 mapsnearly even -3%LP · 6 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
50%75%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge LP +25%LP · 8 maps
DefaultGalorys pick
50%60%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge LP +10%LP · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Inferno
2. BanLP remove Overpass
3. PickGalorys take Default
4. PickLP take Nuke
5. BanLP remove Mirage
6. BanGalorys remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Galorys 43%LP 57%
The model gave 57% on LP — the map was taken by Galorys.
Overpassprediction missed8:13
Galorys 69%LP 31%
The model gave 69% on Galorys — the map was taken by LP.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
Galorys 58%LP 42%
The model gave 58% on Galorys — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 55%
Series resultLP 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3