CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
83%72%
Galorys · 26 mapsedge Galorys +11%Turma do Pagode · 21 map
Dust2Turma do Pagode ban
55%43%
Galorys · 18 mapsedge Galorys +12%Turma do Pagode · 17 maps
Anubispossible decider
43%50%
Galorys · 10 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +7%Turma do Pagode · 8 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
42%56%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +14%Turma do Pagode · 5 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
67%43%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Galorys +24%Turma do Pagode · 3 maps
CacheTurma do Pagode pick
50%67%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +17%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%63%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +13%Turma do Pagode · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Mirage
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Cache
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Dust2
6. BanGalorys remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
Galorys 40%Turma do Pagode 60%
The model gave 60% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Galorys.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
Galorys 75%Turma do Pagode 25%
The model gave 75% on Galorys — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Galorys 66%Turma do Pagode 34%
The model gave 66% on Galorys — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteTurma do Pagode · 55%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3